| 我国城市人口、建设用地规模预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙秀锋,刁承泰,何丹.我国城市人口、建设用地规模预测[J].现代城市研究,2005,20(10):48-51. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙秀锋 刁承泰 何丹 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南师范大学资源环境科学学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 重庆市重点文科研究基地资助项目”三峡库区城市化发展的经济成本研究“的成果之一。 |
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| 摘 要： | 城市人口规模和城市用地规模是城市规划的基础,本文从我国城市建设用地的实际情况出发,以中国城市统计年鉴数据为基础,采用传统的回归分析预测法,预测了未来一段时期内我国城市非农业人口规模,进而算出城市人口,并根据可能的人均用地水平科学地预测了未来我国市区城市建设用地规模。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市规模 非农业人口 建设用地 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-6000(2005)10-0048-04 |
Prediction of Urban Population and Building Lang in China |
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| SUN Xiu-feng,DIAO Cheng-tai,HE Dan.Prediction of Urban Population and Building Lang in China[J].Urban Research,2005,20(10):48-51. |
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| Authors: | SUN Xiu-feng DIAO Cheng-tai HE Dan |
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| Affiliation: | SUN Xiu-feng DIAO Cheng-tai HE Dan |
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| Abstract: | The scale of urban population and land used for city are foundations of the urban planning, this paper proceeds from actual conditions of urban building land of our country, based on statistical yearbook data of city of China, appliyed the analytical method of regression to predict the population of non-agriculture in China city proper and further calculate the urban population. On the basis of the possible levels of the urban building land per capita, it predict the future scale of urban building land in China city proper. |
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| Keywords: | city size non-agricultural population urban building land prediction |
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