高产高效综采工作面产量预测模型

分析影响高产高效综采工作面产量的地质、采矿技术和管理三大类因素，并应用模糊数学方法将因素指标量化，应用灰色关联分析给出各影响因素对高产高效综采工作面产量影响的权重，进而归纳得到三项综合指标。在此基础上，建立了多维灰色预测模型。经验证，模型可靠。

A forecasting model on the production of high output and high efficiency fully mechanized coal face

This paper analyses systematically the various parameters influencing the production of high output and high efficiency fully machanized coal face.On the basis of the statistical data of high output and high efficiency fully mechanized coal face,a number of parameters are dealt with quantitatively and comprehensively according to fuzzy mathematic theory,the grey interaction analysis method and the method of weighted analysis.And finally the parameters have been synthesized as geological,mining technical,and management integrated parameters.By the further application of grey modeling theory,the multi dimensional grey state model GM(0,4) model is established.It is proved that the model is reliable.