| 评估复杂可维修系统可靠度与瞬态可用度的蒙特卡罗方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 肖刚. 评估复杂可维修系统可靠度与瞬态可用度的蒙特卡罗方法[J]. 兵工学报, 2002, 23(2): 215-218 |
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| 作者姓名： | 肖刚 |
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| 作者单位： | 第二炮兵工程学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金;70171029; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文设计了评估复杂可维修系统可靠度、瞬态可用度的蒙特卡罗方法,该方法利用Bootstrap方法作为框架,在计算可靠度和瞬态可用度的点估计时采用加权统计估计蒙特卡罗方法.通过评估一周期维修的非马尔可夫系统的可靠度和瞬态可用度检验了本文方法的适用性.
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| 关 键 词： | Bootstrap方法 加权统计估计 复杂可维修系统 评估 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-04-01 |
A MONTE CARLO METHOD FOR OBTAINING RELIABILITY AND AVAILABILITY CONFIDENCE LIMITS OF COMPLEX MAINTENANCE SYSTEM |
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| Xiao Gang. A MONTE CARLO METHOD FOR OBTAINING RELIABILITY AND AVAILABILITY CONFIDENCE LIMITS OF COMPLEX MAINTENANCE SYSTEM[J]. Acta Armamentarii, 2002, 23(2): 215-218 |
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| Authors: | Xiao Gang |
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| Affiliation: | Second Artillery Engineering College |
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| Abstract: | A Monte Carlo method for obtaining the reliability and availability confidence limits of complex maintenance system was designed based on the bootstrap method. In the spot estimation calculation, weighted statistic estimation Monte Carlo was used. As an example,the reliability and availability low confidence limits of a non-Markovian system with prevented maintainance were calculated by this method. The results show the feasibility of the method. |
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| Keywords: | bootstrap method weighted statistic Monte Carlo estimation complex maintenance system assessment |
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