| 沈阳市房地产市场波动状况分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔凡文,郑文博,于文汇.沈阳市房地产市场波动状况分析[J].建筑经济,2012(7):79-82. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔凡文 郑文博 于文汇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 沈阳建筑大学管理学院．辽宁沈阳110168
2. 沈阳景盛万利房地产有限公司,辽宁沈阳,110136 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家住房和城乡建设部软科学课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述房地产市场波动的涵义,将房地产市场波动分为长期波动、随机波动、季节波动及周期波动;针对沈阳市房地产市场,运用时间序列分解模型,剔除长期波动和随机波动,掌握季节波动和周期波动规律;得出了沈阳市房地产市场季节波动因子,并推断沈阳市场地产市场的周期波动规律。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产市场波动 时间序列 周期波动 季节波动 |
Analysis of the Real Estate Market Fluctuation in Shenyang |
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| KONG Fanwen ZHENG Wenbo,YU Wenhui.Analysis of the Real Estate Market Fluctuation in Shenyang[J].Construction Economy,2012(7):79-82. |
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| Authors: | KONG Fanwen ZHENG Wenbo YU Wenhui |
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| Affiliation: | KONG Fanwen ZHENG Wenbo,YU Wenhui |
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| Abstract: | The paper defines the connotation of real estate market fluctuation,and divides into long waves,period fluctuation,seasonal fluctuation and random fluctuation.In allusion to the Shenyang real estate market,uses time series model to eliminate the long waves and random fluctuations,mastering the season fluctuation and the period fluctuation rule.The conclusion is season fluctuation factors and the period fluctuations of Shenyang real estate market. |
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| Keywords: | real estate market fluctuation time series cycle fluctuation |
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