| 江西经济增长与电力需求预测分析研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 邓盛平,张家玉,周红.江西经济增长与电力需求预测分析研究[J].江西能源,2004(3):1-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邓盛平 张家玉 周红 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省统计局 江西南昌330046
(邓盛平，张家玉)，江西省统计局 江西南昌330046(周红) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对目前江西出现电力紧张的局面，本文剖析了江西近十年电力供求状况，分析江西电力紧张的原因，运用数理统计、弹性系数等多种方法，着重描述电力需求与经济增长的相关程度，对今后几年江西电力需求进行预测，研究分析电力如何适应国民经济和社会发展的需要，提出了解决电力需求矛盾的对策和建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力需求预测 江西经济 电力供求 经济增长 对策和建议 国民经济 弹性系数 紧张 分析研究 原因 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-7676(2004)03-0001-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年6月1日 |
A Prediction of The Relation Between The Economic Growth and The Requirement of Electricity in Jiangxi Province |
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| DENG Shengping ZHANG Jiayu ZHOU Hong.A Prediction of The Relation Between The Economic Growth and The Requirement of Electricity in Jiangxi Province[J].Jiangxi Energy,2004(3):1-7. |
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| Authors: | DENG Shengping ZHANG Jiayu ZHOU Hong |
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| Affiliation: | Statistics Bureau of Jiangxi Province Jiangxi Nanchang 330046 |
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| Abstract: | In dealing with the shortage of electricity in Jiangxi Province recently, the state of supply and demand of electricity in recent ten years and the cause of shortage of electricity were analyzed. By the means of mathematical statistics and flexible coefficient, the relationship of requirement of electricity and economic growth was described and the requirement of electricity in Jiangxi Province in the few years to come was predicied. By the analysis of the correspondence of electric supply to the requirement of national ecnomy and social development, the countermeasures of ocercoming the contradictory of electrical shortage was proposed. |
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| Keywords: | ecnomic growth requirement of electricity prediction study |
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