计及滚动评价的居民群需求响应策略

开展需求响应能够有效地平抑负荷波动、降低负荷用电峰谷差，但用户响应的不确定性，极大地阻碍了需求响应业务的开展。为此，策略依托以聚合商为中心的需求响应架构，以基线负荷功率推演为支撑，考虑用户实时状态、满意度和自动需求响应的实施特性，建立响应评估模型，采用滚动评价的方式，以评价结果为导向降序选择可预期性强的用户参与业务，尽可能降低居民用户群参与下的自动需求响应的不确定性。仿真结果表明，策略可以在节约需求侧资源的同时降低用户群响应误差比例。

Residents Demand Response Strategy Considering Rolling Evaluation

Carrying out demand response can effectively stabilize the load fluctuation and reduce the difference between peak and valley load power consumption. However, the uncertainty of user response has greatly hindered the development of demand response service. For this reason, a research is made on the residential demand response strategy considering rolling evaluation, which is relied on the aggregate-centered demand response architecture, and supported by the baseline loads power deduction, with consideration of the implementation characteristics of real-time state, satisfaction and automatic demand response of users. A response evaluation model is established, and the rolling evaluation method is used to select predictable users to participate in the business in descending order according to the evaluation results, so as to minimize the uncertainty of the automatic demand response for the participation of residential users. Simulation results show that the strategy can save the demand side resources and reduce the response errors of user group.