| 用马尔科夫过程描述水库径流 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱之葵,刘运臣,韩玉珍. 用马尔科夫过程描述水库径流[J]. 山东大学学报(工学版), 1992, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱之葵 刘运臣 韩玉珍 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东工业大学水利土建工程系，山东工业大学计算中心，山东大学 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省1989～1991年的科研课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 以年为周期、按时间序列把径流连续过程离散化为月或旬,若相邻月(旬)存在依赖关系则径流过程符合马尔科夫链。在求出条件概率后,即可求出相邻时段的转移概率矩阵,最后求得相应的条件概率流量。全部计算用FORTRAN语言编写程序,在VAX—8350机上实现。
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| 关 键 词： | 水库 径流 马尔科夫过程 条件概率 转移概率 |
DESCRIBING RESERVOIR RUNOFF BY MARKOV PROCESS |
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| Zhu Zhikui et al. DESCRIBING RESERVOIR RUNOFF BY MARKOV PROCESS[J]. Journal of Shandong University of Technology, 1992, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | Zhu Zhikui et al |
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| Affiliation: | Dept. of Hydraul. & Civ. Eng. |
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| Abstract: | Taking one year as apperiod and compling the time series, disperses and divides the continous runoff process into processes in a series of months or ten-days. The runoff process will be in accord with Markov Chain , if addependent relationship exists among the adjacent months or ten- days. When the conditional probability is gotten, transformation probability matrix of the adjacent time zones could be obtained and then the relative flows could be evaluted. The calculation was programmed by FORTRAN language and ran on computer. |
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| Keywords: | Reservoir Runoff Markov process Conditional probability Transition Probability |
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