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灰色系统模型GM(1,1)在股指灾变预测中的应用
引用本文:周德华. 灰色系统模型GM(1,1)在股指灾变预测中的应用[J]. 重庆科技学院学报(自然科学版), 2003, 5(2): 23-25
作者姓名:周德华
作者单位:400015 重庆,西南证券有限责任公司
摘    要:将灰色系统理论应用于股市预测 ,建立了灾变日期预测模型。运用该模型进行上涨周、局部低点周及灾变转折点预测的实例表明 ,灾变预测模型在股市预测中具有操作性强、实用价值高、易于普及应用的特点。

关 键 词:股市  价格指数  灾变  预测  模型
修稿时间:2003-02-24

On the Application of Grizzle Model in Predicting Disastrous Stock Indexes
ZHOU De-hua. On the Application of Grizzle Model in Predicting Disastrous Stock Indexes[J]. Journal of Chongqing University of Science and Technology:Natural Science Edition, 2003, 5(2): 23-25
Authors:ZHOU De-hua
Abstract:The theory of grizzle Model was applied in predicting stock indexes so as to set up a model to predict the dates of the disasters. This model was used to predict rising circle, falling circle and disastrous turning point, which showed that disaster predicting model had such features in predicting stock indexes as strong operative function, high practical value and easy popularizing application.
Keywords:Stock Market  Price Index  Disastrous Change  Prediction  Model  
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