| 漳河水库入库洪水预报方案研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞淞,雒文生,宋星原,李莉红.漳河水库入库洪水预报方案研究[J].水电能源科学,2004,22(3):33-36. |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞淞 雒文生 宋星原 李莉红 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉大学,水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,湖北,武汉,430072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重大项目(50099622-1) |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析漳河水库入库洪水误差特点的基础上．建立了入库洪水产汇流预报方案。并进一步采用自适应实时校正技术，使本次制作的漳河水库洪水预报方案平均确定性系数达到91．09％，洪峰合格率为100％，峰现时间合格率为90．91％。
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| 关 键 词： | 入库洪水 洪水预报 实时校正 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7709(2004)03-0033-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年7月13日 |
Research on Forecasting Scheme of Zhanghe Reservoir Flood |
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| YU SongLUO Wen-shengSONG Xing-yuanLI Li-hong Wuhan Univ.,Wuhan,China.Research on Forecasting Scheme of Zhanghe Reservoir Flood[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2004,22(3):33-36. |
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| Authors: | YU SongLUO Wen-shengSONG Xing-yuanLI Li-hong Wuhan Univ Wuhan China |
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| Affiliation: | YU SongLUO Wen-shengSONG Xing-yuanLI Li-hong Wuhan Univ.,Wuhan 430072,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper established the yield and conflux forecasting scheme of reservoir flood based on analyzing error generation characteristics of Zhanghe reservoir flood. Then, self-adaptation technique is adopted. It makes the average deterministic coefficient of Zhanghe reservoir flood forecasting project come to 91.09%,the qualified rate of flood peak 100%,the qualified rate of time to peak 90.91%. |
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| Keywords: | reservoir flood flood forecasting real-time adjustment |
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