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| 滑坡预报的协同-分岔模型及其应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 黄志全,张长存,姜彤,王思敬. 滑坡预报的协同-分岔模型及其应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2002, 21(4): 498-501 |
| 作者姓名： | 黄志全 张长存 姜彤 王思敬 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华北水利水电学院岩土工程系,郑州,450045;石油大学地球科学系,北京,102200 2. 天津勘测设计研究院,天津,300222 3. 华北水利水电学院岩土工程系,郑州,450045 4. 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所,北京,100029 |
| 摘 要： | 基于状态变量摩擦定律，把协同学和分岔理论联系起来，建立了边坡失稳时间预报的时间－分岔非线性理论模型。该模型体现了边坡在演化过程中各个因素之间的协同作用及分岔现象，并可对滑坡的发生时间进行预报。通过对新滩滑坡的预报，证明该方法精度较高。 |
| 关 键 词： | 摩擦定律 边坡 协同－分岔模型 时间预报 滑坡 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6915(2002)04-0498-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2000-06-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000-06-29 |
SYNERGETIC-BIFURCATED MODEL OF LANDSLIDE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION |
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| Huang Zhiquan,,Zhang Changcun,Jiang Tong,Wang Sijing. SYNERGETIC-BIFURCATED MODEL OF LANDSLIDE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2002, 21(4): 498-501 | |
| Authors: | Huang Zhiquan Zhang Changcun Jiang Tong Wang Sijing |
| Affiliation: | Huang Zhiquan1,4,Zhang Changcun2,Jiang Tong1,Wang Sijing3 |
| Abstract: | Landslide prediction is an important aspect of prevention and control for geological hazards and the environmental protection. In order to study the nonlinear methods for landslide prediction,the synergetic- bifurcated model of predicting the timing of slope failure is established by combining synergetics with bifurcation theory. Taking the Xintan Landslide as an example,the prediction of landslide is carried out based on the model suggested. |
| Keywords: | friction laws slope synergetic-bifurcated model time prediction |
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