Abstract: | Rotation of linearly polarized waves (Faraday rotation) passing through the ionosphere causes depolarization in frequency reuse satellite communication systems. As the ionospheric total electron content (TEC) is not constant, dynamic compensation for this effect may be required. This paper investigates the magnitude of the TEC variations, the time scales of the variability and the predictability of the excursions. Analysis of long-term TEC measurements shows that the variations are statistical with yearly and seasonal trends strongly coupled to long term solar and geophysical effects. Short-term variations are difficult to predict. Data indicate that reliable Faraday rotation estimates can be made for 99·9 per cent of the time, provided that long-term solar, seasonal and geographical factors are considered. Occasional bursts of solar activity limit the accuracy of long-term predictions. |