上海经济增长与制造业结构变动的统计研究

强大的制造业是国民经济健康发展的基础,利用1982年～2009年上海统计年鉴数据对制造业结构变动同经济结构变动的影响关系进行测算,这种影响关系反映了制造业由一种结构状态变化到另一种结构状态时经济结构变化的变动情况。通过对上海地区制造业结构变动影响经济增长的实证分析,阐述了制造业结构变动对经济增长的影响同对经济结构的影响类似,制造业中主导产业、支柱产业的变动左右了经济增长的变化,提出了制造业结构优化的政策建议。

Statistical Studies on Economic Growth and Structural Change of Manufacturing in Shanghai

A strong manufacturing industry provides a basis for healthy development of the national economy.This paper explores the relationship between the changes of manufacturing structure and the changes of economic structure by employing the data from Shanghai Statistical Yearbook.This relationship reflects the changes within the economic structure when structural changes take place in the manufacturing sector.Through empirical analysis of how economic growth is influenced by the structural changes of the manufacturing industry in Shanghai,the paper also elaborates that the influence of the structural changes of the manufacturing industry on economic growth is similar to economic structure and that the changes of the leading industry and pillar industry of the manufacturing industry determines the changes of economic growth.The paper also puts forward policy suggestions on optimizing the structure of manufacturing industry.