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轧钢加热炉能耗模糊变权重组合预测
引用本文:唐文武,鄂加强.轧钢加热炉能耗模糊变权重组合预测[J].工业炉,2005,27(4):37-40.
作者姓名:唐文武  鄂加强
作者单位:中南大学,能源与动力工程学院,湖南,长沙,410083;湖南冶金职业技术学院,湖南,株洲,421000;中南大学,能源与动力工程学院,湖南,长沙,410083
摘    要:基于已有的轧钢加热炉的能耗数据,引入了各预测方法的预测相对误差、预测对象的变化趋势和灰色基本权重等概念,建立了轧钢加热炉的能耗模糊变权重组合预测模型。结果表明,此组合预测平均误差和预测平方根误差均较小。

关 键 词:轧钢加热炉  能耗  组合预测  模糊变权重
文章编号:1001-6988(2005)04-0037-04
修稿时间:2005年3月14日

Combined Forecasting of Energy Consuming Quantum about Rolling Reheat Furnace with the Method of Fuzzy Variable Weight
TANG Wen-wu,E Jia-qiang.Combined Forecasting of Energy Consuming Quantum about Rolling Reheat Furnace with the Method of Fuzzy Variable Weight[J].Industrial Furnace,2005,27(4):37-40.
Authors:TANG Wen-wu  E Jia-qiang
Affiliation:TANG Wen-wu1,2,E Jia-qiang1
Abstract:Based on current data of energy consuming quantum about rolling reheat furnace, its combined forecasting model was established by using conceptions such as the relative error, the tendency of the forecasted object and gray basic weight due to the method of fuzzy variable weight. The results reveal that the combined forecasting model is more effective.
Keywords:rolling reheat furnace  energy consuming quantum  combination forecasting  fuzzy variable weight
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