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滑坡预报研究综述
引用本文:马平,冯永,钱海涛,孙强. 滑坡预报研究综述[J]. 人民黄河, 2011, 33(9)
作者姓名:马平  冯永  钱海涛  孙强
作者单位:1. 北京交科公路勘察设计研究院有限公司,北京,100088
2. 河南工业大学土木建筑学院,河南郑州,450001
3. 中国地震局地壳应力研究所,北京,100085
4. 中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏徐州,221116
基金项目:中国地震局地壳应力研究所基本科研业务专项(ZDJ2009-07); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项(2010QNA54)
摘    要:边坡的失稳演化与其内部结构和外界因素的影响密切相关,在回顾滑坡预测发展史的基础上,指出滑坡预报包括空间预测、强度预测和时间预报三方面内容,而时间预报是滑坡预报的核心.探讨了滑坡预报存在的问题与现阶段经验预报的必要性.

关 键 词:边坡失稳  滑坡预报  经验预报  物理预报

Analysis of Landslide Prediction
MA Ping , FENG Yong , QIAN Hai-tao , SUN Qiang. Analysis of Landslide Prediction[J]. Yellow River, 2011, 33(9)
Authors:MA Ping    FENG Yong    QIAN Hai-tao    SUN Qiang
Affiliation:MA Ping1,FENG Yong2,QIAN Hai-tao3,SUN Qiang4 (1.RIOH Transport Consultants Ltd.,Beijing 100088,China,2.School of Civil Engineering,Henan University of Technology,Zhengzhou 450001,3.Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100085,4.School of Resources and Geosciences,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou 221116,China)
Abstract:The instable evolution of slope is closely related to its internal structure and the external influence.Based on the review of development history of landslide,it is pointed out that landslide prediction includes space prediction,intensity prediction and time prediction,and time prediction is the most importion aspect of landslide prediction.The problems of landslide prediction are discussed,and the necessity of empirical forecast is proved.
Keywords:slope instability  landslide prediction  empirical forecast  physical forecast  
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