| 一例基于灰色模型的电力负荷预测方法的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 王永华,刘军生,周晓华,赵佳妍,阎丽琴.一例基于灰色模型的电力负荷预测方法的应用[J].电力学报,2005,20(3):280-282. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王永华 刘军生 周晓华 赵佳妍 阎丽琴 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 忻州供电分公司,山西忻州034000 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 以忻州市1994~2004年用电量数据为例介绍了灰色预测技术在电力系统中的应用,并与忻州市1994年至2004年工农业生产总值(不变价)和同期用电量数据建立的一元线性回归模型预测结果进行了对比分析,进一步说明了灰色模型预测具有较高的置信度和应用价值。
|
| 关 键 词： | 电力负荷 灰色模型 一元线性回归模型 负荷预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-6548(2005)03-0280-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-05-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-07-18 |
The Application of Electric Forecasting Method Based on the Grey Model |
| |
| WANG Yong-hua, LIU Jun-sheng, ZHOU Xiao-hua, ZHAO Jia-yan, YAN Li-qin.The Application of Electric Forecasting Method Based on the Grey Model[J].Journal of Electric Power,2005,20(3):280-282. |
| |
| Authors: | WANG Yong-hua LIU Jun-sheng ZHOU Xiao-hua ZHAO Jia-yan YAN Li-qin |
| |
| Affiliation: | Xinzhou Power Supply Sub-Company,Xinzhou 034000, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Taking the annual power-consumption quantity from 1994 to 2004 in Xinzhou as the example, this paper introduces the application of grey forecasting technology in power system and compares the industrial and agricultural gross municipal product from 1994-to 2004 with one-unknown-linear-regression-model forecasting result built on the data of power-consumption quantity for the period and explains more about the trust degree and application value of grey model. |
| |
| Keywords: | electric load grey model one-unknown-linear-regression model load forecasting |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
