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Planning of Strength Margins Using Joint Modeling of Mean and Dispersion
Authors:I. Juutilainen   J. R  ning
Affiliation: a Intelligent Systems Group, Computer Engineering Laboratory, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
Abstract:Not only the strength of steel but also the variance of strength depends on composition and thermomechanical treatments. Information about the variance of strength is important when composition and thermomechanical treatments are planned to fulfill the strength requirements. In this work, heteroscedastic linear models were used for joint modeling of the mean and dispersion of strength. The models were used as tools in the optimization of the strength margins for steel plate products. The models were created by using industrial process data, and they were successfully used in a steel plate mill.
Keywords:Conditional distribution function  Expected squared prediction error  Heteroscedastic regression  Joint modeling of mean and dispersion  Large industrial data set  Planning of process settings  Probability prediction  Standardized residual  Steel plate mill  Strength margin  Strength of steel  Tensile test  Uncertainty about input variables  Variance modeling  Variance of strength
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