| 缺水地区未来水资源量预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙玉华,冯琳,吴俊秀,李洪利. 缺水地区未来水资源量预测方法研究[J]. 东北水利水电, 2011, 29(8): 35-37,45,71 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙玉华 冯琳 吴俊秀 李洪利 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽宁省水文水资源勘测局,辽宁,沈阳,110003 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以辽西北地区为典型区域,提出了以产水系数代替降水-产水量关系线进行基于水文统计理论的一致性检验方法,进而对辽西北地区未来30年水资源总量进行了趋势分析与预测,旨在探求半干旱地区环境变化情况下的水资源量演变规律和预测方法,从而对今后水资源评价和规划提供技术支撑.
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| 关 键 词： | 缺水地区 水资源量 趁势分析 预测方法 |
Study of future water resources quantity forecast method for water deficient area |
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| SUN Yu-hua,FENG Lin,WU Jun-xiu,LI Hong-li. Study of future water resources quantity forecast method for water deficient area[J]. Water Resources & Hydropower of Northeast China, 2011, 29(8): 35-37,45,71 |
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| Authors: | SUN Yu-hua FENG Lin WU Jun-xiu LI Hong-li |
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| Affiliation: | SUN Yu-hua,FENG Lin,WU Jun-xiu,LI Hong-li |
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| Abstract: | Taking the northwest Liaoning as a typical region,the paper puts forward a test method of consistence using runoff producing coefficient instead of rainfall-runoff relationship,analyzes and forecasts the water quantity trend of northwest Liaoning in future 30 years.The purport is to find out the evolution law and forecast method for the water quantity of semi-arid area under the environmental changes,and to offer the technological support for the water resources evaluation and planning. |
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| Keywords: | water deficient area water resources quantity trend forecast method |
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