舰艇综合防御鱼雷的作战决策及其关联分析

深弹拦截与机动规避综合防御声自导鱼雷是舰艇水下防御作战的一种新样式。对舰艇生存概率与战场态势展开关联分析，可为训练分析、战法研讨乃至作战决策提供精细化的参考。在该作战仿真及策略优化问题的研究过程中，形成了“深弹拦截+背转规避”与“舰艇机动+深弹拦截”两种作战策略。比较不同战场态势下的舰艇生存概率，粗略划分两种作战策略的适用区域，并分析了两种策略的综合防御效果；以梯度分析、弹性分析方法分别给出临界区域的数值计算示例，给出不同战场态势下的作战建议。研究结果表明，在不同战场态势下，舰艇应采取对应的较优作战策略，特别应加强对远距离、正横方向来袭鱼雷的预警探测能力。

Combat Decision and Correlation Analysis of Warship Integrated Defense Torpedo

A new style of underwater warship defense is to integrally defend the acoustic self-guided torpedo with depth charge interception and maneuvering evasion. The correlation analysis for the survival probability of warship and the battlefield situation can provide elaborate reference for training analysis, discussion about tactics and even combat decision-making. In the research process of combat simulation and strategy optimization, two combat strategies of “depth charge interception + backward evasion” and “warship maneuvering + depth charge interception” are formed. The applicable regions of the two combat strategies are roughly divided, and the integral defense effects of the two strategies are analyzed by comparing the survival probabilities of warship under different battlefield situations. The numerical analysis examples of critical regions and the combat suggestions under different battlefield situations are given by using gradient analysis and elastic analysis methods, respectively. This study shows that a corresponding superior combat strategy should be adopted under different battlefield situations, especially, for early warning and detection of torpedo in long-distance and horizontal direction. Key