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Regional allocation of CO2 emissions allowance over provinces in China by 2020
Affiliation:1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, 5 South Zhongguancun Street, Beijing 100081, PR China;2. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, 5 South Zhongguancun Street, Beijing, PR China;3. School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, PR China;1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China;2. School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China;3. Collaborative Innovation Center of Electric Vehicles in Beijing, Beijing, China;4. School of Resources & Safety Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology (Beijing), Beijing, China;5. Center for Climate and Environmental Policy, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People''s Republic of China, Beijing, China;1. School of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310038, China;2. China Academy of Financial Research, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310038, China;3. The Center for Research of Regulation and Policy of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou 310018, China;4. School of Science, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, China;1. School of Business, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, China;2. Industrial Systems Optimization Laboratory, Charles Delaunay Institute and UMR CNRS 6281, University of Technology of Troyes, Troyes, 10004, France;3. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, China;4. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, 230009, China;1. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui Province 230026, PR China;2. Laboratory IBISC, University of Evry-Val d’Essonne, Evry 91020, France;3. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui Province 230009, PR China
Abstract:The mitigation efforts of China are increasingly important for meeting global climate target since the rapid economic growth of China has led to an increasing share in the world's total CO2 emissions. This paper sets out to explore the approach for realizing China's national mitigation targets submitted to the UNFCCC as part of the Copenhagen Accord; that is, to reduce the intensity of CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 40–45% by 2020, as well as reducing the energy intensity and increasing the share of non-fossil fuel consumption, through regional allocation of emission allowance over China's provinces. Since the realization of China's mitigation target essentially represents a total amount emission allowance allocation problem, an improved zero sum gains data envelopment analysis optimization model, which could deal with the constant total amount resources allocation, is proposed in this study. By utilizing this model and based on several scenarios of China's economic growth, CO2 emissions, and energy consumption, a new efficient emission allowance allocation scheme on provincial level for China by 2020 is proposed. The allocation results indicate that different provinces have to shoulder different mitigation burdens in terms of emission intensity reduction, energy intensity reduction, and share of non-fossil fuels increase.
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