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Dynamic assets allocation based on market microstructure model with variable-intensity jumps
引用本文:覃业梅,彭辉.Dynamic assets allocation based on market microstructure model with variable-intensity jumps[J].中南工业大学学报(英文版),2014(3):993-1002.
作者姓名:覃业梅  彭辉
基金项目:Projects( 71271215, 71221061 ) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China; Proj ect(2011DFA 10440) supported by the International Science & Technology Cooperation Program of China; Project(CX2012B067) supported by Hunan Provincial Innovation Foundation for Poslgraduate, China
摘    要:In order to characterizc large fluctuations of the financial markets and optimize financial portfolio, a new dynamic asset control strategy was proposed in this work. Firstly, a random process item with variable jump intensity was introduced to the existing discrete microstructure model to denote large price fluctuations. The nonparametric method of LEE was used for detecting jumps. Further, the extended Kalman filter and the maximum likelihood method were applied to discrete microstructure modeling and the estimation of two market potential variables: market excess demand and liquidity. At last, based on the estimated variables, an assets allocation strategy using evolutionary algorithm was designed to control the weight of each asset dynamically. Case studies on IBM Stock show that jumps with variable intensity are detected successfully, and the assets allocation strategy may effectively keep the total assets growth or prevent assets loss at the stochastic financial market.

关 键 词:微观结构模型  资产配置  金融市场  跳跃  强度  可变  扩展卡尔曼滤波  基础

Dynamic assets allocation based on market microstructure model with variable-intensity jumps
QIN Ye-mei,PENG Hui.Dynamic assets allocation based on market microstructure model with variable-intensity jumps[J].Journal of Central South University of Technology,2014(3):993-1002.
Authors:QIN Ye-mei  PENG Hui
Affiliation:[1]School of Information Science and Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China [2]Hunan Engineering Laboratory for Advanced Control and Intelligent Automation, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China
Abstract:discrete microstrucmre model (DMSM) variable jump intensity evolutionary algorithm (EA) asset allocation excess demand market liquidity
Keywords:discrete microstrucmre model (DMSM)  variable jump intensity  evolutionary algorithm (EA)  asset allocation  excess demand  market liquidity
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