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肯特评分法在输油管道风险评价中的应用及改进
引用本文:张哲,吕明晏,汪是洋. 肯特评分法在输油管道风险评价中的应用及改进[J]. 化工生产与技术, 2011, 18(1): 59-61,63,10. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-6829.2011.01.015
作者姓名:张哲  吕明晏  汪是洋
作者单位:1. 西南石油大学,成都,6105002
2. 中国石化集团管道储运公司京唐输油处,天津,300271
3. 中国石油天然气管道局管道投产运行公司,河北,廊坊,065001
摘    要:介绍了肯特评分法及其评价步骤,利用肯特法吴起-延炼原油管输工程进行了风险评价.通过对肯特模型计算方法中风险分值换算的改进,使相对风险值处于0~100分的范围,且改进公式表示分值越大、风险越高,易于理解,适合我国输油管道的实际情况.应用实例表明,改进公式和原有模型评价结果一致.

关 键 词:风险分析  输油管道  风险评价实例  肯特评分法  改进

Application and Corrective of Muhlbauer Assessment Method in Oil Pipeline Risk Assessment
Zhang Zhe,Lu Mingyan,Wang Shiyang. Application and Corrective of Muhlbauer Assessment Method in Oil Pipeline Risk Assessment[J]. Chemical Production and Technology, 2011, 18(1): 59-61,63,10. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-6829.2011.01.015
Authors:Zhang Zhe  Lu Mingyan  Wang Shiyang
Affiliation:1.Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu 610500;2.Jing tang Department of SINOPEC Pipeline Transportation Co.,Tianjin 300271;3.China Petrolum Pipeline Bureau,pipeline commission and operation Co.,Langfang,Hebei 065001)
Abstract:Pipeline is a dominant method for oil transportation.To improve the safety of Pipeline,risk assessment can be used toprevent accidents.Kent model is the current domestic method of pipeline risk assessment technology,but its results are difficult to understand.This paper obtained the appropriate model for the pipelines in our country by improving the score calculation.In addition,this paper gives actual examples of the model and some actual directions on oil pipeline risk assessment.
Keywords:risk assessment  oil pipeline  example of risk assessment  W Kent model improvement
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