实施绿色制造的综合风险评价

随着工业的发展,工业风险问题日益严重,种类越来越繁杂。由此,在全新的绿色制造模式实施的过程中必然存在着大量不确定的因素和高的风险。在绿色制造方面,由于缺少成功的实例和相关的理论知识,对于需要大量相关样本的以概率表示风险的方法已不适应于绿色制造项目的风险决策。针对这个问题,提出了一种基于模糊多属性决策的方法:建立了三层的层次决策框架模型;给出了模糊多属性决策的方法;然后实例研究表明该决策方法是有效的,层次决策框架模型和模糊多属性决策反映了实施绿色制造项目中的风险特点,实际应用是可行的。

On Rate of Aggregative Risk in Implementation of Green Manufacturing

The industrial risk problem and the diversification of risk types have increased concurrently with industrial development.Many uncertain factors and high risks exist in implementing new green manufacturing.Because of the shortage of successful examples,complete and certain knowledge and information,decision-making method used probabilities to represent risk,which needs many relevant samples.Such a method is not suitable for evaluating the project risk in the implementation of green manufacturing.Therefore,a method of fuzzy multiple attribute decision making(FMADM) is developed to solve the above problem.A three-level hierarchical decision framework model of aggregative risk for projects to implement green manufacturing is set up,and the FMADM method is given.A case study shows the effectiveness of risk decision-making methods.Finally,conclusions are as follows: hierarchical decision framework model of aggregative risk and FMADM method are valid and reflect the characteristics of the risk in projects to implement green manufacturing.