| 山东省能源消费CO2排放及驱动因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张〓超,任建兰.山东省能源消费CO2排放及驱动因素分析[J].水电能源科学,2012,30(2):211-214. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张〓超 任建兰 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东师范大学人口·资源与环境学院,山东济南250014 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(40771077);山东省科技计划基金资助项目(2008RKA189) |
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| 摘 要： | 基于IPCC提出的温室气体排放计算公式,利用1990～2009年山东省能源消费数据,测算了CO2排放量,并结合经济和人口数据,采用LMDI因素分解法分析了能源强度、能源结构、人口规模和人均GDP对CO2排放的影响。结果表明,CO2排放主要来源于火力发电和供热及第二产业,经济水平与人口规模表现为正效应,能源强度与能源结构表现为负效应,由此提出了山东省现阶段的减排建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 能源消费 二氧化碳排放 LMDI 山东省 |
Carbon Dioxide Emission and Driving Factors Analysis on Energy Consumption in Shandong Province |
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| ZHANG Chao and REN Jianlan.Carbon Dioxide Emission and Driving Factors Analysis on Energy Consumption in Shandong Province[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2012,30(2):211-214. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Chao and REN Jianlan |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Population,Resources and Environment,Shandong Normal University,Ji’nan 250014,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on greenhouse emission calculation method of IPCC, this paper estimates the carbon dioxide emission by using energy consumption statistic data from 1990 to 2009 in Shandong province. And then the LMDI method is adopted to analyze the impact of energy intensity, energy structure, population and GDP per capita on carbon dioxide emission. The results show that the main sources of carbon dioxide emission are thermal power generation, heat supply and the secondary industry; economic level and population size play positive effects on carbon dioxide emission; and the effects of energy intensity and energy structure are negative. Therefore, the suggestions of emissions reduction are given. |
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| Keywords: | energy consumption carbon dioxide emission LMDI Shandong province |
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