| 敏感性分析及其改进在PPP项目风险评估中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩亚品,蒋根谋. 敏感性分析及其改进在PPP项目风险评估中的应用[J]. 水利科技与经济, 2009, 15(1): 1-3 |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩亚品 蒋根谋 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东交通大学土木建筑学院,南昌330013 |
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| 摘 要： | 将敏感性分析及其与概率分析相结合的改进方法用于PPP项目风险评估中，得到各风险对评价指标的敏感程度、变动的临界点及其发生的概率大小，为制订PPP项目风险管理措施提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | PPP项目 风险评估 敏感性分析 概率分析 |
Sensitivity Analysis and Its Improvement in the Application |
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| Affiliation: | HAN Ya - pin, JIANG Gen - mou (School of Civil and Architectural Engineering, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang 330013, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper puts forward the idea that the sensitivity analysis and the improved method of its combination with probability analysis can be used for PPP project risk analysis, rI＇nen the risk sensitivity degree relative to evaluation indicators, the critical change point and the probability can be achieved. This provides a basis for the development of risk evaluation measures of PPP pmjeets. |
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| Keywords: | PPP projects risk evaluation sensitivity analysis probability analysis |
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