| 考虑不确定性的城市电网空间负荷预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 王颖,彭澎. 考虑不确定性的城市电网空间负荷预测方法[J]. 电力科学与工程, 2009, 25(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 王颖 彭澎 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华北电力大学,工商管理学院,河北,保定,071003
2. 广东电网公司发展规划部,广东,广州,510600 |
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| 摘 要： | 为解决不确定性因素对城市电网负荷预测结果的不利影响,该文分析了空间负荷预测方法的优势,对其理论和模型进行了详细的描述,并对某城市新区电网进行负荷预测,预测得到的负荷大小和地理位置分布与实际情况偏差较小,取得了预期的效果,为城市电网规划奠定了基础.
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| 关 键 词： | 空间负荷预测 负荷特性 城市电网 |
Spatial Load Forecasting Considering Uncertainty in Urban Power Network Planning |
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| Wang Ying,Peng Peng. Spatial Load Forecasting Considering Uncertainty in Urban Power Network Planning[J]. Power Science and Engineering, 2009, 25(2) |
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| Authors: | Wang Ying Peng Peng |
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| Affiliation: | 1.School of Business Administration;North China Electric Power University;Baoding 071003;China;2.Development and Plan Department of Guangdong Power Grid Orporation;Guangzhou 510600;China |
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| Abstract: | In order to overcome the bad effects of uncertainty factors on load forecasting result of urban power network,this paper analyzed the superiority of spatia1 load forecasting and described its theory and model in detail.Taking the advantage of spatial load forecasting method to forecast the load of one city,the result showed that the load amount and geography position were very similar to the actual situation.The results were satisfactory and established the basis for urban power network planning. |
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| Keywords: | spatia1 load forecasting load characteristic urban power network |
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