| 风险决策模糊数学模型在企业决策中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈又星,徐辉. 风险决策模糊数学模型在企业决策中的应用[J]. 工业工程与管理, 2010, 15(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈又星 徐辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东商学院,工商管理学院,广州,510320;广东商学院,工商管理学院,广州,510320 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省软科学研究项目(粤科规划字【2009】198号) |
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| 摘 要： | 风险型决策问题是决策科学中的一个重要问题,本文针对其模糊不确定性,建立了自然状态概率的模糊估算模型,然后,基于决策论中的最优期望益损值决策准则进行最优决策,并通过实际应用说明该模型的有效性和可靠性,本文的研究为风险型决策问题的解决提供了一种新的定量分析方法,因此,具有重要的理论与应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 风险型决策 自然状态 概率 模糊估算模型 |
Fuzzy Mathematical Model of Risk Decision-making and Application of Business Decision-making |
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| CHEN You-xing,XU Hui. Fuzzy Mathematical Model of Risk Decision-making and Application of Business Decision-making[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management, 2010, 15(2) |
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| Authors: | CHEN You-xing XU Hui |
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| Affiliation: | School of Business Management;Guangdong Uinversity of Business Studies;Guangzhou 510320;China |
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| Abstract: | Risk-based decision-making is an important problem of decision-making science.This paper establishes Fuzzy estimation model of natural state probability for its fuzzy uncertainty and makes optimal decision-making based on the value of the optimal decision-making criteria of expectations of gain or loss.Then this paper proved the validity and reliability of Fuzzy estimation model through the practical application.This paper studies the issue of risk-based decision-making solution and provides a new quantitat... |
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| Keywords: | risk-based decision-making natural state probability Fuzzy estimation model |
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