基于概率圆序贯检验的弹道一致性评定方法

现行弹道一致性评定方法的评定结果受弹丸散布、试验组数、每组用弹量等影响较大.基于数理统计、射击理论和序贯试验理论,提出了一种基于概率圆序贯检验的弹道一致性评定新方法.主要优点是检验结果不受组数和用弹量的影响,使研制方和使用方所承担的风险基本相当,能够减少试验的用弹量并节约试验成本.采用该方法分析了以往弹道一致性试验数据,结果表明,该检验方法具有一定的适用性和工程应用价值.

Trajectory Consistence Evaluation Method Based on Probability Circle and Sequential Test

The trajectory consistence evaluation results obtained by current method are affected greatly by dispersion error, the number of test group, samples of every group and so on. Aiming at this problem, a new trajectory consistence evaluation method based on probability circle and sequential test was recommended according to mathematical statistics, shooting theory and the theory of sequential test. The advantages of this method include that test results are not affected by test groups and samples per group, and the risk of user is equal to that of developer. The cost can be saved by this method. The analysis results for earlier test data of trajectory consistence show that the test method has project application value.