Abstract: | A system is subject to shocks that arrive according to a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. The system is replaced at age T at a fixed cost c0. If the k-th shock arrives at time Sk<T, it is either a fatal shock with probability p(Sk) or a nonfatal shock with probability 1−p(Sk). The fatal shock causes the system total breakdown, and the system is replacd at a cost c∞. The nonfatal shock weakens the system and makes it more expensive to run. The aim of the paper is to find the optimal T which minimizes the long run expected cost per unit time of the policy. Various special cases are considered. |