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Prediction of Time Series Empowered with a Novel SREKRLS Algorithm
Authors:Bilal Shoaib  Yasir Javed  Muhammad Adnan Khan  Fahad Ahmad  Rizwan Majeed  Muhammad Saqib Nawaz  Muhammad Adeel Ashraf  Abid Iqbal  Muhammad Idrees
Abstract:For the unforced dynamical non-linear statespace model, a new Q1 and efficient square root extended kernel recursive least square estimation algorithm is developed in this article. The proposed algorithm lends itself towards the parallel implementation as in the FPGA systems. With the help of an ortho-normal triangularization method, which relies on numerically stable givens rotation, matrix inversion causes a computational burden, is reduced. Matrix computation possesses many excellent numerical properties such as singularity, symmetry, skew symmetry, and triangularity is achieved by using this algorithm. The proposed method is validated for the prediction of stationary and non-stationary MackeyGlass Time Series, along with that a component in the x-direction of the Lorenz Times Series is also predicted to illustrate its usefulness. By the learning curves regarding mean square error (MSE) are witnessed for demonstration with prediction performance of the proposed algorithm from where it’s concluded that the proposed algorithm performs better than EKRLS. This new SREKRLS based design positively offers an innovative era towards non-linear systolic arrays, which is efficient in developing very-large-scale integration (VLSI) applications with non-linear input data. Multiple experiments are carried out to validate the reliability, effectiveness, and applicability of the proposed algorithm and with different noise levels compared to the Extended kernel recursive least-squares (EKRLS) algorithm.
Keywords:Kernel methods  square root adaptive filtering  givens rotation  mackey glass time series prediction  recursive least squares  kernel recursive least squares  extended kernel recursive least squares  square root extended kernel recursive least squares algorithm
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