| 城市水资源需求量变化趋势预测模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王春娟,冯利华.城市水资源需求量变化趋势预测模型及应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2012,23(5):51-54,58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王春娟 冯利华 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江师范大学地理与环境科学学院,浙江金华,321004 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(41171430、40771044) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用灰色关联分析,可挑选出与需水量关系较为紧密的影响因子,而利用前期的影响因子进行计算,可以使物元分析具有预测功能.讨论了物元分析的方法步骤及应用.结果表明:根据物元分析来预测未来义乌市需水量的变化趋势是较为理想的.
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源 水资源需水量 物元分析 灰色关联分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2012/5/18 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 6/5/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Prediction model of change tendency of urban water resources demand and its application |
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| WANG Chunjuan and FENG Lihua.Prediction model of change tendency of urban water resources demand and its application[J].Journal of water resources and water engineering,2012,23(5):51-54,58. |
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| Authors: | WANG Chunjuan and FENG Lihua |
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| Affiliation: | (College of Geography and Environmental Sciences,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China) |
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| Abstract: | By the utilization of grey correlation analysis,the paper pick out impact factors in close relationship with water resources demand and use of previous impact factors to calculate,witch make matter element analysis possess forecast function.The paper discussed steps and applications of matter element analysis.The result showed that the forcast of future change tendency of water resources demand in Yiwu accordance with matter element analysis is relatively ideal. |
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| Keywords: | water resources water resources demand matter element analysis gray correlation analysis |
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