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洪灾综合风险结构与综合评价方法(Ⅰ)宏观方面
引用本文:李继清,张玉山,王丽萍,纪昌明. 洪灾综合风险结构与综合评价方法(Ⅰ)宏观方面[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2005, 38(5): 19-23
作者姓名:李继清  张玉山  王丽萍  纪昌明
作者单位:1. 华北电力大学,北京,102206
2. 国务院南水北调工程建设委员会办公室,北京,100053
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大项目(50099624,50579624),武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室开放基金资助项目(whu2005B018)
摘    要:从洪灾形成的成灾模式入手,探讨了洪灾综合风险的宏观结构特征.从洪水灾害风险形成机制的角度出发,应用灾害学的研究理论探讨洪水灾害的风险性,建立由致灾因子的危险性、孕灾环境的脆弱绝对性、承灾体易损相对性及用于洪灾风险宏观评价的灾情损失评估所组成的洪灾综合风险分析的宏观结构,并给出了相应量化的分析概念模型.

关 键 词:洪水灾害  综合风险  风险结构  宏观结构
文章编号:1671-8844(2005)05-019-05
修稿时间:2005-02-19

Structure and evaluation of integrated risk for flood disaster (Ⅰ)--macro-view
LI Ji-qing,ZHANG Yu-shan,WANG Li-ping,JI Chang-ming. Structure and evaluation of integrated risk for flood disaster (Ⅰ)--macro-view[J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University, 2005, 38(5): 19-23
Authors:LI Ji-qing  ZHANG Yu-shan  WANG Li-ping  JI Chang-ming
Affiliation:LI Ji-qing~1,ZHANG Yu-shan~2,WANG Li-ping~1,JI Chang-ming~1
Abstract:In virtue of the pattern of disaster formation,the paper probes into the macro constitution characteristics of integrated risk for flood disaster.Starting at the formation mechanism of risk,the risk characteristic of flood disaster is discussed by applying the theory of disaster science. The macro-constitution of integrated risk for flood disaster,which is composed of the hazard of flood,absoluteness in frangibility of environment,relativity in vulnerability of disaster carrier and evaluation for the situation of a disaster loss for the sake of macro-evaluation for flood disaster risk,is presented.The corresponding quantitative conceptual models are established too.
Keywords:flood disaster  integrated risk  risk constitution  macrostructure
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