基于AHP负荷预测组合预测方法的权重确定

将层次分析法(AHP)应用到电力负荷预测组合预测的权重求取,通过对影响负荷预测的主要因素进行层次分析,建立递阶层次结构,构造两两比较判断矩阵,分层次展开对优先权向量的求取,经过一致性检验最终确定组合预测的权重。通过实例计算,表明方法准确有效。

Weights Determination of Combination Forecasting Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process

The weights of combination forecasting for power load forecasting by the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) are proposed in this paper.Through the hierarchy process analysis to the primary factor which affects the load forecasting,the progressives level structure,two criteria's comparisons tectonic judgment matrix and the solution of priority weights by analytic hierarchy process analytic are established.The combination forecasting weights are determined by the uniform test.This method is accurate and effectively by the calculation.