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当前储能市场和储能经济性分析
引用本文:金虹,衣进. 当前储能市场和储能经济性分析[J]. 储能科学与技术, 2012, 1(2): 103-111
作者姓名:金虹  衣进
作者单位:1.北京低碳清洁能源研究所储能中心,北京,102209;2.凯旋创投,北京,100005
摘    要:储能在未来电网以及可再生能源的应用中将起到至关重要的作用.它的应用范围涉及发电、传输、分配乃至终端用户.本文简要分析并总结了储能市场的经济性,重点阐述了储能应用的主要瓶颈问题——成本.通过分析与计算,确定了储能产品的目标成本,并且以材料创新及以历史上光伏产业规模效应的经验曲线为参考分析了能够降低储能成本的可行途径.储能应用市场将为传统能源结构带来根本性的变化,给社会经济带来巨大的福利,它的应用势在必行.但是,要实现储能的大规模应用还有诸多艰巨的任务与挑战,其中最重要的是要降低储能系统的成本,而实现这个目标需要多方面的共同努力.

收稿时间:2012-10-17

Analysis of the current energy storage market and energy storage economy
JIN Hong,YI Jin. Analysis of the current energy storage market and energy storage economy[J]. Energy Storage Science and Technology, 2012, 1(2): 103-111
Authors:JIN Hong  YI Jin
Affiliation:1 Energy Storage Center,National Institute of Clean-and-Low-Carbon Energy,Beijing 102209,China;
2 Keytone Ventures,Beijing 100005,China
Abstract:Energy storage will play a pivotal role in the next generation power grid and is the key enabler for renewable energy. Its potential applications widely spread within the domain of electricity generation, transmission, distribution and power end user. We briefly summarized and analyzed the energy storage market economics in this paper, focusing on the key bottleneck of the energy storage adoption, i.e., cost. The cost target of general energy storage product is identified, and viable cost reduction pathways are thoroughly analyzed, with the historical development of PV product as the reference. We concluded that the energy storage market is expecting high growth with high economical and societal value with large challenges, especially in China. The cost reduction remains the critical cornerstone in this challenge.
Keywords:energy storage market  energy storage economics  scale economies effect  energy storage cost analysis  levelized cost of energy  grid parity  power value chain  cost target  
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