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Bayesian Belief Network Model for Decision Making in Highway Maintenance: Case Studies
Authors:Mehmet Emre Bayraktar  Makarand Hastak
Affiliation:1Assistant Professor, Dept. of Construction Management, Florida International Univ., Miami, FL 33174 (corresponding author). E-mail: bayrakm@fiu.edu
2Professor, Head, Div. of Construction Engineering and Management, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN 47907. E-mail: hastak@ecn.purdue.edu
Abstract:This paper presents two case studies that were conducted to illustrate the functionality and application of a decision support system for predicting the influence of decisions made by state highway agencies regarding important work zone project variables such as work window, work zone length, lane closure strategy, and contract incentives on the cost, duration, quality, safety, and public satisfaction of a particular project under consideration. The first case study describes in detail the operation and function of the three major levels of the proposed framework using a completed project, whereas the second case study provides an opportunity for the application of the decision support system to a work zone project in the planning stages using the input of the actual decision maker for the project.
Keywords:Simulation  Costs  Scheduling  Case studies  Maintenance  Highways and roads  Bayesian analysis  
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