2006年钯市场回顾及2007年预测

回顾了2006年钯市场的价格走势，分析了影响钯市场的主要因素。2006年，钯价格在投机和投资者的推动下，最高达到406美元／盎司，年均价格比2005年增长了59％，达到320美元／盎司。受首饰业和电子工业需求减少的影响，2006年钯市场的总需求比2005年下跌了5．6％，而供应量同比小幅增长了0.8％。展望2007年，汽车工业中钯的需求和钯首饰的需求都将回升，价格也将继续增长；预计2007年钯的平均价格为370美元/盎司，4个季度的平均价格分别为340，365，390，400美元／盎司。

Review of Palladium Market in 2006 and Forecast in 2007

The price trend of palladium market in 2006 was reviewed and the main influence facts on palladium market were analyzed in this paper.The price of palladium has been climbed by 59 per cent to four year's high.Though total demand is forecast to fall by 5.6 per cent,demand from auto-catalyst is forecast to rise 7 per cent y-o-y,encouraged by substitute and tighter regulation.In 2006,palladium market keeps on surplus for the sixth year constantly.It forecasts that the palladium price will keep on climbing in 2007,but the scope will lower than it in 2006,and the average price will be at $370 per oz..