| 基于改进的Markov过程模型和作战评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈信钦,林春生,张永志. 基于改进的Markov过程模型和作战评估[J]. 武汉理工大学学报, 2010, 0(6) |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈信钦 林春生 张永志 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军工程大学兵器工程系;63880部队;蚌埠坦克学院计算机系; |
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| 基金项目： | 国防重点实验室基金(9140A03050707JB55) |
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| 摘 要： | 为解决水雷工作制度、扫雷概率未知的情况下扫雷作战效果评估难于求解的问题,在Markov过程的基本评估模型基础上并考虑到雷区清扫一次水雷可能动作多次的情况,文中设计实现了基于Markov过程的效果评估改进模型,在分析约束条件的基础上探讨了模型求解方法:逐步回归和遗传算法。最后通过实例仿真计算了模型相关性能指标,结果表明:在小样本数据条件下模型可以取得较为准确的评估结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔可夫过程 扫雷概率 扫雷作战效果 逐步回归 遗传算法 |
Research on Improved Mathematic Model Based on Markov Process and Estimating Effect of Naval Mine-sweeping |
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| CHEN Xin-qin,,LIN Chun-sheng,ZHANG Yong-zhi. Research on Improved Mathematic Model Based on Markov Process and Estimating Effect of Naval Mine-sweeping[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology, 2010, 0(6) |
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| Authors: | CHEN Xin-qin LIN Chun-sheng ZHANG Yong-zhi |
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| Affiliation: | CHEN Xin-qin1,2,LIN Chun-sheng1,ZHANG Yong-zhi3(1.Department of Weaponry Engineering,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China,2.63880 Units of PLA,Luoyang 471003,3.Department of Computer,Bengbu Tank Institute,Bengbu 233050,China) |
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| Abstract: | It is hard to estimating effect without some necessary parameters such as working condition of mine,sweeping probability etc.This article designed an improved model which is based on Markov chains in consideration of some special situations,for example,if the mine field is swept one time,some mines can be affected many times.After analyzing the constraints of the model,we investigate the solving method for the model: stepwise regression and genetic algorithm.At last the emulation is carried out to demonstra... |
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| Keywords: | markov process mine-sweeping probability effect of naval mine-sweeping stepwise regression genetic algorithm |
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