水利水电工程仿真系统可信性评估研究

水利水电工程的规划、设计、施工与管理过程都是极其复杂的。仿真技术的发展与应用给水利水电工程的各项工作提供了很有效的辅助手段，但长期以来，人们在利用仿真技术进行辅助决策时，进行更多的是对仿真结果可信性的评估，对于仿真模型乃至仿真系统本身的可信性问题缺乏研究。本文分析了水利水电工程仿真系统可信性评估的现状，并对该领域仿真系统可信性评估的内容、遵循的原则及评估方法进行研究。

Study on the credibility evaluation about the simulation system for hydroower engineering

The whole process of hydropower engineering including planning, designing, construction and management are very complex. The development and opplication of simulation technology has shown great benefits to hydropower engineering, but, for a long time, people have focused only on the validation of its results when they use the technology as an assistant tool, and care little about the model itself and the system's credibility. In this paper, the credibility evaluation about the simulation system for hydropower engineering is discassal and brief analysis on the state of the art, and the contents of credibility evaluation, including its principles and approaches aregiven.