NIU Dong-xiao,WANG Jian-jun,LIU Jin-peng School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China
Abstract:
Short-term forecasting is a difficult problem because of the influence of non-linear factors and irregular events.A novel short-term forecasting method named TIK was proposed,in which ARMA forecasting model was used to consider the load time series trend forecasting,intelligence forecasting DESVR model was applied to estimate the non-linear influence,and knowledge mining methods were applied to correct the errors caused by irregular events.In order to prove the effectiveness of the proposed model,an applica...