世界能源供应面临的挑战及几点认识 |
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引用本文: | 姜鑫民,赵林,唐旭. 世界能源供应面临的挑战及几点认识[J]. 中国能源, 2006, 28(11) |
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作者姓名: | 姜鑫民 赵林 唐旭 |
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作者单位: | 1. 能源研究所,北京,100038 2. 中国石油大学(北京),北京,102249 |
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摘 要: | 世界经济的持续增长要求越来越多的能源来支撑,本文通过计量的方式对历史数据进行回归,把握能源消费与经济发展之间的数量关系,并根据权威机构对世界经济发展的预测数据,得出了全球能源消费越来越大、地区不平衡趋势明显,这将给能源的供应带来了更大的压力。本文从正面简要分析了世界能源供应面临的瓶颈和挑战,提出了对能源前景的几点认识。
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关 键 词: | 经济发展 能源消费 能源供应 能源前景 |
Challenges of World''''s Energy Supply and Some Prospects of Energy in the Future |
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Abstract: | The continuing development of world economy requires more and more energy, this paper finds out the quantitative relationship between energy consumption and economy development by regressing the historical data using econometric method. And then through data of economical development data forecasted by authoritative organizations, this paper summarizes the trends of world's energy consumption, which brings more stress to the energy supply. And, it briefly analyzes the challenges of world's energy supply. Finally, this paper puts forwards some prospects for energy in the future. |
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Keywords: | economy development energy consumption energy supply energy prospects |
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