河南省煤炭消费、产业结构与雾霾污染互动关系研究

基于2006-2017年河南省18个地级市面板数据,采用PVAR模型从面板矩估计、脉冲响应函数和方差分解角度分析煤炭消费、产业结构与雾霾污染三者之间的互动关系。结果表明:煤炭消费和产业结构整体上加剧了雾霾污染,然而雾霾污染不仅抑制了煤炭消费增长,而且降低了第二产业产值占总产值比重;雾霾污染对产业结构的响应长期为正,且整体呈下降趋势;煤炭消费对雾霾污染的响应呈"正-负-正"关系;产业结构是雾霾污染加剧的关键因素。

Interaction between Coal Consumption,Industrial Structure and Haze Pollution in Henan Province

Based on panel data of 18 cities in Henan Province from 2006 to 2017, the interaction among coal consumption, industrial structure and haze pollution was analyzed by using PVAR model from the perspective of panel moment estimation, impulse response function and variance decomposition. The results show that haze pollution is aggravated by coal consumption and industrial structure as a whole, but haze pollution not only inhibits the growth of coal consumption, but also reduces the proportion of secondary industry output value to total output value; the response of haze pollution to industrial structure is long-term positive, and the overall trend of decline; the response of coal consumption to haze pollution is long-term positive. The industrial structure is the key factor to aggravate haze pollution.