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暂态稳定性分析中的确定性方法和概率性方法
引用本文:赵霞,周家启,胡小正,程建翼,曾伟民.暂态稳定性分析中的确定性方法和概率性方法[J].电力系统自动化,2006,30(6):100-103.
作者姓名:赵霞  周家启  胡小正  程建翼  曾伟民
作者单位:1. 重庆大学电气工程学院,重庆市,400044
2. 中国电力企业联合会可靠性管理中心,北京市,100761
3. 湖北省电力公司,湖北省,武汉市,430077
摘    要:首先简要讨论了传统的确定性暂态稳定分析中存在的问题,在此基础上引入概率性暂态稳定分析方法,重点介绍了暂态稳定性分析中的不确定性因素和相应的建模方法.总结了现有的概率暂态稳定性仿真方法和指标.最后,对暂态稳定分析中的确定性方法和概率性方法进行了系统的比较.

关 键 词:暂态稳定性  确定性方法  概率性方法  风险
收稿时间:2005-11-22
修稿时间:2005-11-22

Deterministic and Probabilistic Approaches in Transient Stability Studies
ZHAO Xia,ZHOU Jia-qi,HU Xiao-zheng,CHENG Jian-yi,ZENG Wei-min.Deterministic and Probabilistic Approaches in Transient Stability Studies[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2006,30(6):100-103.
Authors:ZHAO Xia  ZHOU Jia-qi  HU Xiao-zheng  CHENG Jian-yi  ZENG Wei-min
Affiliation:1. Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China; 2. Electric Reliability Management Center, China Electricity Council, Beijing 100761, China; 3. Hubei Electric Power Company, Wuhan 430077, China
Abstract:This paper begins with a simple discuss of weaknesses in using deterministic approach for performing transient stability analysis. Then the probabilistic transient stability assessment is introduced with focus on the probabilistic factors and modeling. Such other issues as the simulation tools and existing indices are also described based on relevant literatures. Finally, a systemic comparison between deterministic and probabilistic approaches in transient stability studies is given.
Keywords:transient stability  deterministic approach  probabilistic approach  risk
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