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Economic analysis of solar energy development in North Africa
Affiliation:1. China Electrical Power Research Institute, No.15, Qinghexiaoying East Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100192, China;2. State Key Laboratory of Operation and Control of Renewable Energy & Storage Systems, China Electric Power Research Institute. No.15, Qinghexiaoying East Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100192, China;3. Global Energy Interconnection of Development and Cooperation Organization, No.8, Xuanwumen Inner Street, Xicheng District, Beijing 100031, China;4. Intec-GOPA International Energy Consultants GmbH, Leopoldsweg 2, 61348, Bad Hamburg, Germany
Abstract:The economic analysis of solar energy development is the basis of promoting the solar energy planning in north Africa and realizing the clean energy power transmission among continents. In this paper, the cost development trend of photovoltaic(PV) power and concentrating solar power(CSP) generation is analyzed, and the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of solar power generation is forecasted. Then, taking the development of Tunisian solar energy as an example in the context of transcontinental transmission, PV power with energy storage and PV-CSP power generation are given as two kinds of development plan respectively. The installed capacity configurations of the two schemes are given with production simulation method, and comprehensive LCOE are calculated. The studies show that based on the LCOE forecast value, the LCOE of PV-CSP combined power generation will decrease when the annual utilization hours of transmission channel is increased. It can be chosen as one of important mode of the North Africa solar energy development.
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