| 基于熵权法的新机场货邮吞吐量类比分析预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 王喆,夏洪山. 基于熵权法的新机场货邮吞吐量类比分析预测[J]. 郑州大学学报(工学版), 2008, 29(4): 141-144 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王喆 夏洪山 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京航空航天大学民航学院,江苏,南京,210016 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金与民航基金联合资助项目(60672167) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对新建机场缺少历史数据这一事实,利用熵权法确定各经济指标权重.综合各指标权重计算类比机场所在城市综合评价指数,给出类比预测方法,根据类比城市综合评价指数计算新建机场吞吐量及未来增长率.以九寨沟黄龙机场为例,对类比预测法进行了实证分析研究.
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| 关 键 词： | 熵权法 新建机场 货邮吞吐量 类比预测 |
Entropy Based Analogy Forecasting of New Airport Cargo Throughput |
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| WANG Zhe , XIA Hong-shan. Entropy Based Analogy Forecasting of New Airport Cargo Throughput[J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University: Eng Sci, 2008, 29(4): 141-144 |
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| Authors: | WANG Zhe XIA Hong-shan |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Zhe,XIA Hong-shan(College of Civil Aviation,Nanjing University of Aeronautics , Astronautics,Nanjing,210016,China) |
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| Abstract: | According to the fact that new airports lack historical data,entropy based analogy forecasting method was introduced.Firstly,weights of economic indicators were determined by entropy method.Then comprehensive evaluation index of each analog airport was calculated according to the weights.Cargo throughput of the first year and future growth rate of the new airport were calculated based on the indices finnally,and thus future cargo throughput can be predicted.Jiuzhaigou Huanglong airport was taken as an examp... |
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| Keywords: | Entropy method New airport Cargo throughput Analogy forecasting |
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