| 晴空工况光伏超短期功率预报方法 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 程序,周海,王知嘉,丁宇宇. 晴空工况光伏超短期功率预报方法[J]. 可再生能源, 2011, 29(6) |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 程序 周海 王知嘉 丁宇宇 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 国网电力科学研究院,江苏南京,210003 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家电网公司科技项目(SG-09061); 甘肃省电力公司科技项目(2010501065) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 提出一种基于实时辐射采集技术的晴空工况光伏超短期功率预报方法.该方法预报时效为未来0～4h,预测点时间分辨率为15 min,每15 min滚动循环预测.以此预报方法为基础,建立了国家能源太阳能发电研发(实验)中心屋顶光伏电站的功率预测系统.现场预测结果表明,该方法具有较好的预报效果,能够满足工程应用要求.
|
| 关 键 词： | 超短期 光伏功率预报 实时辐射采集 方法 |
The method for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction under clear sky condition |
| |
| CHENG Xu , ZHOU Hai , WANG Zhi-jia , DING Yu-yu. The method for ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction under clear sky condition[J]. Renewable Energy(China), 2011, 29(6) |
| |
| Authors: | CHENG Xu ZHOU Hai WANG Zhi-jia DING Yu-yu |
| |
| Affiliation: | CHENG Xu,ZHOU Hai,WANG Zhi-jia,DING Yu-yu (State Grid Electric Power Research Institute,Nanjing 210003,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | A method of ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction under clear sky based on realtime acquisition technology of solar radiation was proposed,which had a prediction aging of the next 4 hours,time resolution of prediction point was 15-minute,and prediction rolling cycle of 15-minutes.Based on this method,the photovoltaic generation power prediction system for the rooftop photovoltaic generation plant was established in NESC.The results indicated that this method has good prediction,effect and could sat... |
| |
| Keywords: | ultra-short-term photovoltaic power prediction real-time acquisition of solar radiation method |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
