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Expected impacts on greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions due to a possible transition towards a hydrogen economy in German road transport
Authors:Lindsey B. Weger  Joana Leitão  Mark G. Lawrence
Affiliation:1. Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Berliner Str. 130, 14467, Potsdam, Germany;2. Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Am Neuen Palais 10, 14469, Potsdam, Germany
Abstract:Transitioning German road transport partially to hydrogen energy is among the possibilities being discussed to help meet national climate targets. This study investigates impacts of a hypothetical, complete transition from conventionally-fueled to hydrogen-powered German transport through representative scenarios. Our results show that German emissions change between ?179 and +95 MtCO2eq annually, depending on the scenario, with renewable-powered electrolysis leading to the greatest emissions reduction, while electrolysis using the fossil-intense current electricity mix leads to the greatest increase. German energy emissions of regulated pollutants decrease significantly, indicating the potential for simultaneous air quality improvements. Vehicular hydrogen demand is 1000 PJ annually, requiring 446–525 TWh for electrolysis, hydrogen transport and storage, which could be supplied by future German renewable generation, supporting the potential for CO2-free hydrogen traffic and increased energy security. Thus hydrogen-powered transport could contribute significantly to climate and air quality goals, warranting further research and political discussion about this possibility.
Keywords:Hydrogen economy  German road transport  Greenhouse gas mitigation  Air pollution  Fuel cell electric vehicle  Emission scenarios  AD"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0045"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  activity data  BEV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0055"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  battery electric vehicle  CCS"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0065"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  carbon capture and storage  CG"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0075"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  coal gasification  DE"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0085"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  Germany  EF"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0095"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  emission factor  FCEV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0105"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  fuel cell electric vehicle  GWP"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0115"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  global warming potential  HDV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0125"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  heavy duty vehicle  ICEV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0135"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  internal combustion engine vehicle  IEA"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0145"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  International Energy Agency  LCA"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0155"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  life cycle assessment  LDV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0165"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  light duty vehicle  LHV"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0175"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  lower heating value  NIR"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0185"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  National Inventory Report  PC"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0195"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  passenger car  PEM"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0205"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  proton exchange membrane  SMR"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0215"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  steam methane reforming  SOEC"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0225"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  solid oxide electrolysis cell  TTW"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0235"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  tank-to-wheel  UBA"  },{"  #name"  :"  keyword"  ,"  $"  :{"  id"  :"  kwrd0245"  },"  $$"  :[{"  #name"  :"  text"  ,"  _"  :"  Umweltbundesamt (German Environment Agency)
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