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基于动态模拟递推算法和向量模法的水环境承载力计算方法
引用本文:沈珍瑶,祝莹欣,贾超,陈磊.基于动态模拟递推算法和向量模法的水环境承载力计算方法[J].水资源保护,2015,31(6):32-39.
作者姓名:沈珍瑶  祝莹欣  贾超  陈磊
作者单位:北京师范大学环境学院, 北京 100875; 北京师范大学水环境模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100875,北京师范大学环境学院, 北京 100875; 北京师范大学水环境模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100875,北京师范大学环境学院, 北京 100875; 北京师范大学水环境模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100875,北京师范大学环境学院, 北京 100875; 北京师范大学水环境模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100875
摘    要:为了定量分析流域内多种因素对水环境的综合影响,发展并完善了基于动态模拟递推算法和向量模法的水环境承载力计算方法,并将其应用于汉江流域中下游干流供水区水环境承载力分析。分析结果表明,该方法对于水环境承载力的论述更为合理,得到的结果也更为直观、全面;仅从水资源供给的角度,汉江流域中下游干流供水区水环境承载力在2040年存在难以承载社会经济发展的风险,但从综合角度看,水环境承载力呈现出改善的趋势。


Calculation method of water environment carrying capacity based on dynamic simulation-recursion algorithm and vector norm method
SHEN Zhenyao,ZHU Yingxin,JIA Chao and CHEN Lei.Calculation method of water environment carrying capacity based on dynamic simulation-recursion algorithm and vector norm method[J].Water Resources Protection,2015,31(6):32-39.
Authors:SHEN Zhenyao  ZHU Yingxin  JIA Chao and CHEN Lei
Affiliation:School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China,School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China,School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China and School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Abstract:To quantify the comprehensive effect of multiple factors on the water environment, the calculation method of water environment carrying capacity(WECC)based on dynamic simulation and recursion algorithm and vector norm method is developed and completed. The WECC of the middle-lower of Hanjiang River Basin is analyzed based on this method. The results show that the method is more reasonable in discussing WECC and the results are more explicit and overall. From the point of water supply, there is a risk that WECC of middle-lower of Hanjiang River Basin might not support the local economic development. However, from the point of comprehensive evaluation, the WECC has the tendency of improving gradually.
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