中国的汽车化进程和能源政策

本文分析了中国汽车化进程的现状,并且预测了汽车,摩托车和农用车的社会保有量,其中,2020年汽车的社会保有量将高达8317～13996万台,而收入分配不平衡的程度将最终决定保有量的多少。汽车化进程导致了能源消费问题日益突出,本文提出了九点旨在节约能源消费的政策建议。

China's Automobile Industry and Energy Policies

This paper analyses the current motorization status in China, and estimates that the total ownership of vehicle in China will increase to the range from 83.17 Million to 139.96 Million. However, the imbalance degree of income distribution will finally determine this figure. The motorization will result in a more serious problem of energy consumption. To save the energy consumption, this paper proposes nine policy recommendations.