现代海战过程仿真研究

兰彻斯特方程是对作战过程进行仿真研究的有利工具，但是用来分析以反舰导弹为主战兵器的现代海战却存在不便之处。究其原因，现代海战更加符合一个离散事件的特征，而兰彻斯特方程的研究方法是建立时间连续的微分方程组。受兰彻斯特方程的启迪，文章归纳了几个对海战具有重要影响的参数，采用离散模型来模拟研究水面舰艇的导弹攻击作战过程，在利用差分方程组进行分析之后，初步地探讨了作战理论、反舰导弹性能以及防御能力对海战成败的影响。

Simulation of Modern Naval Warfare Process

Lanchester Equation is an useful tool to make simulation research on operation process, but has its limitation when used for analyzing modern naval warfare featuring main operation weapon of anti-ship missile. The actual reason is that modern warfare is a much more discrete event in terms of characteristics. The research method of Lanchester Equation is to establish a group of consecutive differential equations. Inspired by Lanchester Equation, the author concludes several parameters influential for naval warfare, makes simulation research on the missile attack process of surface ship by applying discrete module. Meanwhile, the author develops preliminary discussion on operation theory, performance of anti-ship missile and the impact of defense ability on the success of naval warfare after analysis based on discrete differential equation.