Sequential Monte Carlo simulation for composite power systemreliability analysis with time varying loads |
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Authors: | Sankarakrishnan A Billinton R |
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Affiliation: | Power Syst. Res. Group, Saskatchewan Univ., Saskatoon, Sask.; |
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Abstract: | The paper illustrates the development and utilization of an annual chronological load curve for each load bus in a composite generation and transmission system and a sequential Monte Carlo simulation approach for composite system reliability assessment. Antithetic variates as a variance reduction technique has been applied to the simulation model to increase the efficiency of the simulation. An approximate method using a load duration curve of the system load and an enumeration process have been applied to the developed load model and the results are compared in this paper |
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