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Modeling and simulation of the open-end equity mutual fund market in Taiwan by using self-organizing map
Affiliation:1. Clinic of Oral Surgery and Implantology, School of Dental Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotica 4, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;2. Department of Pathophysiology, School of Dental Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotica 1, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;3. Clinic of Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics, School of Dental Medicine, University of Belgrade, Rankeova 4, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;4. Department of Virology, Institute of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica 1, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;5. Institute for Medical Research, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotic 4, PO Box 102, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;6. Department of Biology and Human Genetics, School of Dental Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr. Subotica 1, 11 000 Belgrade, Serbia;1. Department of Physics, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, China;2. College of Science, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China;1. Department of Electrical Engineering, American University of the Middle East, Kuwait;2. Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Eastern Mediterranean University, Gazimagosa, Mersin 10, Turkey
Abstract:This research applies artificial intelligence (AI) of unsupervised learning self-organizing map neural network (SOM-NN) to establish a model to select the superior funds. This research period is from year 2000 to 2010 and picks 100 domestic equity mutual funds as study object. This research used 30 days prior to the beginning of each month’s prior 30 days, 60 days, 90 days on fund’s net asset value and the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) return as the fund’s relative performance evaluation indicators classified by month. Finally, based on the superior rate or the average return rate, this research select the superior funds and simulate investment transactions according to this model.The empirical results show that using the mutual fund’s net asset value and the TAIEX’s relative return as SOM-NN input variables not only finds out the superior fund but also has a good predictive ability. Applying this model to simulate investment transactions will be better than the random trading model and market. The experiments also found that the investment simulation of a three-month interval has the highest profitability. The model operation suggests that it is more suitable for short-term and medium-term investment. This research can assist investors in making the right investment decisions while facing rapid financial environment changes.
Keywords:Artificial intelligence  AI  Self-organizing map neural network  SOM-NN  Taiwan Weighted Stock Index  TAIEX  Mutual fund performance
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